Will Home Values Appreciate or Depreciate in 2020?

    Will Home Values Appreciate or Depreciate in 2020? | Simplifying The Market

    With the housing market staggered to some degree by the health crisis the country is currently facing, some potential purchasers are questioning whether home values will be impacted. The price of any item is determined by supply as well as the market’s demand for that item.

    Each month the National Association of Realtors (NAR) surveys “over 50,000 real estate practitioners about their expectations for home sales, prices and market conditions” for the REALTORS Confidence Index.

    Their latest edition sheds some light on the relationship between seller traffic (supply) and buyer traffic (demand) during this pandemic.

    Buyer Demand

    The map below was created after asking the question: “How would you rate buyer traffic in your area?”Will Home Values Appreciate or Depreciate in 2020? | Simplifying The MarketThe darker the blue, the stronger the demand for homes is in that area. The survey shows that in 34 of the 50 U.S. states, buyer demand is now ‘strong’ and 16 of the 50 states have a ‘stable’ demand.

    Seller Supply

    The index also asks: “How would you rate seller traffic in your area?”Will Home Values Appreciate or Depreciate in 2020? | Simplifying The MarketAs the map above indicates, 46 states and Washington, D.C. reported ‘weak’ seller traffic, 3 states reported ‘stable’ seller traffic, and 1 state reported ‘strong’ seller traffic. This means there are far fewer homes on the market than what is needed to satisfy the needs of buyers looking for homes right now.

    With demand still stronger than supply, home values should not depreciate.

    What are the experts saying?

    Here are the thoughts of three industry experts on the subject:

    Ivy Zelman:

    “We note that inventory as a percent of households sits at the lowest level ever, something we believe will limit the overall degree of home price pressure through the year.”

    Mark Fleming, Chief Economist, First American:

    “Housing supply remains at historically low levels, so house price growth is likely to slow, but it’s not likely to go negative.”

    Freddie Mac:

    “Two forces prevent a collapse in house prices. First, as we indicated in our earlier research report, U.S. housing markets face a large supply deficit. Second, population growth and pent up household formations provide a tailwind to housing demand.”

    Bottom Line

    Looking at these maps and listening to the experts, it seems that prices will remain stable throughout 2020. If you’re thinking about listing your home, let’s connect to discuss how you can capitalize on the somewhat surprising demand in the market now.

    Content previously posted on Keeping Current Matters

    Rajeev Vashist

    Serving Northern Virginia real estate needs for over 27 years – Rajeev Vashist has built his reputation through surpassing his clients’ expectations at every turn. Whether they are buying or selling, his knowledge of the local market is unparalleled and has proven to be advantageous in every transaction for his clients. Rajeev provides each client with extraordinary customer care and services, always implementing –cutting-edge technology in the process, which has earned him raving reviews from his past clients. His passion for real estate and focused determination has helped him excel in his career and afforded him with numerous achievement awards. Rajeev is recognized for consistently placing in the top one percent of all real estate professionals in America. Specializing in navigating the ups and downs of the Northern Virginia Real Estate market, his integrity, dedication, insight, and hard work are only a few of the reasons that over 98 percent of Rajeev’s business comes from repeat clients and referrals. His clients acknowledge the value of his unending, local expertise, negotiation skills, and exceptional personal attention– the level discriminating clientele expect and deserve.
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